March 2010
9 posts
Rafsanjani's 5th recommendation
http://hashemirafsanjani.ir/?type=dynamic&lang=1&id=1913
Rafsanjani’s 5th recommendation, addressed to 5+1: If you limit your demands to your rights, we will settle for our rights equally. Both sides need to improve confidence & create trust. On the international scene, Iran must act in a way to avoid any suspicions.
Parleman : one step forward for Rafsanjani
http://www.parlemannews.ir/?n=9613
Ayatollah Rafsanjani prevailing, extremists retreating. Rafsanjani’s 6 point plan is in motion, gaining more & more ground.
Tehran Nazi Abad / Shiraz updates.
Tehran Nazi Abad source :”People are putting up fierce resistance against Government agents in front of Amir Almomenin hospital, keeping agents from kidnapping injured protesters being treated inside. Large crowd blocks agents from raiding Hospital & is fighting back.”
Shiraz source : “Around 5000 protesters marched, chanted “Death to dictator” & set...
Two full message from sources.
1 “We are unified by the “un-Islamic” Fire Festival, publicly & openly defying Khamenei’s religious fatwa. I’m told the Fire festival is being celebrated much more than in prior years, in all Iranian cities and villages, with anti regime & Khamenei chants echoing through the land, displaying the anger & resistance of people who are being robbed of...
Rafsanjani's 1st of seven recommendations for...
http://hashemirafsanjani.ir/?type=dynamic&lang=1&id=1905
In an exclusive interview with Ayatollah Hashemi Rafsanjani by his official website, he has seven recommendations for Iranians in the last week of the year 1388. The first one is addressed to the young and student protesters. Q: What is your recommendation for the very large group of youth and students of the Nation who are so...
Interesting Double Admission of Responsibility
http://www.parlemannews.ir/?n=9182 A Reformist admits weakness of leadership over protesters caused damage, while a Sr. Principlist admits extremists within Principlists have caused damage & created the crisis, while urging all to change their ways, distance from extremists & move towards unity & moderation.
Translation/Analysis : Pro-Government and their...
http://www.parlemannews.ir/?n=9169
Translation :
Extremist Government supporters & their media launch a barrage of attacks on Expediency for its election law & policy reforms.
The This article includes a draft of Expediency’s suggested reforms :
Create a National Election Committee and remove the Guardian Council and Leader’s oversight.
Ministry of Interior...
Insider : on Rafsanjani's Q&A and post-Khobregan...
(As analyzed by an insider, March 4th & 5th, 2010.) There were some important points in Rafsanjani’s answers during the Q&A yesterday : 1. Only SL has the “power” (authority) to end the crisis, with the help of all domestic forces. 2. Officials have to listen to the young generation’s criticism & answer with logic. 3. The Most important thing is the Will of...
Summary : Faeze Hashemi: My father won't...
From http://zamaaneh.com/news/2010/03/post_12356.html
Faeze Hashemi: “My father won’t compromise on people’s rights.His demands are the same as the Green movement. My father & the green movement have common demands. He can be considered green as well.”
She emphasizes that Ayatollah Rafsanjani will never compromise with the regime at the cost of people’s rights...
February 2010
5 posts
Insider: Iran, de facto military dictatorship.
(As worded by an Insider, February 13.)
Sepah& its Commander in chief have taken over & have no intention of letting go. 1389’s Artesh budget is not even quarter of Sepah’s budget.
- Basij is totally integrated in Sepah now. - From National police to Central command, all Sepahi & Basijis. - The Ministry of Intelligence is run by Sepah Intelligence. - IRIB & most...
An Insider's 22 Bahman postmortem.
As analyzed by an insider, February 12.
AN speech :
It had the breakthrough message of 20% Uranium & even up to 80% & above Uranium for a bomb “atomic shocker”. There was the space breakthrough with the 2 rockets (extended versions of Korean middle range ballistic missile, which if can it carry a load of 25 tonnes to outer space, is technically an intercontinental...
Summary : on his website, Rafsanjani talks about...
Rafsanjani discloses some of his pre-revolutionary wealth & his ownership of Alborz Group, among others, using income to support revolutionaries & Khomeini.
He says his relationship w SL of some 50 years hasn’t been damaged, as some want the public to believe. He meets SL biweekly & they have frank, unrecorded discussions about affairs. He has no problem voicing his opinions...
NSP source : all deals are off the table.
NSP source (February 10)
There’s no deal left on the on table. All have fallen apart. Jafari has assured SL that 22 Bahman will be the end of fitna & has received full powers. AN is to hold a provocative speech,boasting Iran’s arsenal of retaliatory weapons, nuclear program & ambiguously hint at a secret weapon. Front rows are filled with plain-cloth thugs, so AN’s ...
Iran history : Shah 1973 speech.
Iran history : In a 1973 speech, the Shah stated he wouldn’t renew the 25 years Western Oil contracts, which were to expire in 1979.
He starts his speech by “There are truths that the ppl of Iran have to be made aware of”,”I have absolute proof of foreign companies violating our national interests.We will not under any circumstances extend this contract” He...
January 2010
21 posts
Horrifying peykeiran report on continuing prisoner...
Gohardasht - Karaj Prison :
300 Ashura detainees are under severe pressure by Intel agents in Sepah sections.
Ordinary prisoners are protesting, saying screams, noises, sobbing & crying of injured from Sepah section keep the entire prison awake.
Intel agents demand Mohareb confessions.
http://peykeiran.com/Content.aspx?ID=12819
Taeb's crazy theory.
Taeb…
He tells Javan in an interview that the plan for announcing rigging in elections was devised 5 days before election day at Rafsanjani’s house in a gathering of Mousavi’s campaign managers. He says their assessment was that AN would win with flying colors & Mousavi stood no chance. Then a plan was devised to prepare the ground for announcing fraud & rigging in...
Insider Insight : A.Khatami, SL assassination...
As analyzed by an Insider, January 28, 2010 :
Why did Ahmad Khatami, an anti Rafsanjani & pro SL coup supporter try to portray himself as a unifier & mediator between Rafsanjani & Yazdi? This, to me, is a telling sign. His intervention, although none of the information is confirmed other than the reports, could be by orders received from SL.
This is a behavior pattern we...
Parleman : Rafsanjani / Yazdi truce unlikely.
Parlemannews : Rafsanjani didn’t accept plea of Ahmad Khatami not to publish letter on Yazdi. Safirnews reports that , in reply to A.Khatami’s request not to publish the letter he announced, in exchange of Yazdi not repeating such acts, Rafsanjani said: “I’ve written the letter not for personal reasons, but for sake of regime.” Article suggests that Rafsanjani...
NSP Source : Coup may assassinate Khamenei if he...
(January 27 & 28, 2010) NSP Source :
The situation is tense. There have been external & internal developments, adding further national security risks & dangers to be considered.
The behind closed door sessions are on 24/7. A disaster is in the making which needs all our attention & all the resources we can dedicate to counter.
No matter how, we have to defuse AN &...
Media war : Tehran Prosecutor blasts coup media.
Tehran Prosecutor summons Islamic Guidance officials. He informs of ex-IRNA Chiefs conviction and arrest of Hemmat officials. He says he will act against (Government supporting) media spreading false news. He criticizes Guidance ministry for arbitrarily banning some of the media while others openly violate laws by spreading lies & offending top Regime & Government Officials....
Karroubi stands firm on his accusations.
Karoubi says his words were twisted. He stands firm on pre-election and post-election accusations. He says AN’s Gov is ruling by virtue of having been sworn in and, as such, has responsibilities towards people and has to be accountable. “I say what all Iranians say : Where is my vote?” http://www.rahesabz.net/story/8710/
Ayande report on over 4 years of AN Administration
Ayande report on over 4 years of AN Administration : - 47% under poverty line. - 75% of all projects started remain unfinished&halted. - Average inflation of 20%. - Budget submitted one month late. - Welfare under $20 aftr promising $70 during elections. - Gov employees raises granted days before the election are now deduced in installments on paychecks. - Failure to submit progress...
Media war escalating.
Ayande warns that if Coup media exposure of family & sex life of Government critics doesn’t stop, a flood of “shocking” revelations will be unleashed on top Gov officials relating to their unethical relations & multiple temporary & long term “side wives”,which could start a storm of protests, especially among female Government supporters, with...
Insider Opinion : Not a single Official is unaware...
As analyzed by an Insider, January 17, 2009.
Due to the SNSC’s latest decisions & SL’s conciliatory approach towards conservatives, traditionalists & the “less hostile” reformists rallied around Rafsanjani, there will likely be no hostility and few provocations in the lead up to 22Bahman, in order to avoid what could otherwise be an unstoppable popular revolt the...
Unprecedented Ayande & Aleph articles bluntly...
In an unprecedented move, Ayande & Aleph have published articles not only criticizing the Government but also SL’s handling of the country & his role in the fall of IRI regime. http://74.55.176.124/news/17237/ Ayande published a Top regime Official’s summary Analysis of, who draws a bleak picture & indirectly blames SL’s misjudgment & disregard for constitution by...
Talaei "Post Election Events are a result of Gov's...
From http://www.rahesabz.net/story/7879/ Talaei at Expediency Council: “Post Election Events are a result of Gov’s wrong actions.”
He asks for freedom of political activity, freedom of speech, as well as kind treatment of Iranian ppl, who would “answer such in kind.” Senior member of Expediency’s commission on Politics, defense & security described a return...
Sardar Safavi criticizes... Everyone in the...
From http://www.rahesabz.net/story/7878/ Sardar Safavi, former top commander of IRGC: “The most important need of society is to avoid tension and extremism.” Safavi urged all to respect Marjas & avoid any extreme actions causing tension. He calls disrespectful or ill treatment of Marja destructive for regime while emphasizing the need for unity & calm in society. He sharply...
Succint summary of Shariatmadari / Kakubian live...
Kakubian made Shariatmadari look like a crazed propagandist on live TV. He gave him a real hard time, saying all Shariatmadari was saying was unfounded & rubbish.
When he started talking about proof he has on involvement of “Fitna heads” with foreigners, Kakubian buried him : “Where is your evidence? Neither we, nor SL, SNSC or Expediency have any. You say you do?...
Taeb should read IRI constitution.
Taeb should read IRI constitution. It’s the basis for SL position, differing from his interpretation, which is closer to the idea of Sunni Caliphate, the *very* reason for the Shiite/Suni schism… http://www.peykeiran.com/Content.aspx?ID=12202 Taeb said “SL is different from what people might think. Even though he was suffering under Montazeri during Imam Khomeini’s time...
Summary : Motahari's frontal attack on...
Summary of Motahari declaration , from http://parlemannews.ir/?n=7222 In an open letter to Keyhan EiC, Motahari offers Shariatmadari & his “friends” to take a few months off & relax in a nice place, all expenses paid by the true “caring ones of Islamic Revolution” so that Fitna can find an end & flames of discord are extinguished. He accuses AN of having...
Insider Opinion : SL's main intention is to save...
As analyzed by an Insider, January 9, 2010
Today’s SL speech seems in line with yesterday’s coalition leak. SL appropriated Rafsanjani talking points : he asked for Moderation, adherence to laws, no rogue actions, end of hostilities. He didn’t talk of soft war, he declared all attempts of usual enemies as failed, told IRGC, Basij & Hezbollahi to stand down &...
In Qom, SL's first appearance since Ashura.
SL in his Qom speech asked all to refrain from any rogue actions, strictly comply with law, be vigilant not to hurt innocents. He demanded absolute adherence to laws, reminded that the Quran invites all to observe moderation & justice, all have to follow laws, not to act out of anger so that innocent personalities who are opposed to enemies are hurt & damaged. SL tells Basijis & other...
Coalition source : Expect fast, radical, positive...
As reported by a source close to the coalition formed around Ayatollah Hashemi Rafsanjani:
Expect fast, positive & radical events. SL is finally submitting to Rafsanjani & coalition. There’ll be a change of tone, lots of coup supporters losing position & some their heads as well. SL hardly met with any of the crazies in the past few weeks, & has daily meetings with coalition...
source : NSP report urges SL to fire and replace...
As reported to me by an insider :
An alarming level of discontent and protests within Iranian Armed and Security Forces is cited in a recent NSP report. The report urges SL to change the entire top level commanders of Armed & Security forces, as they are blamed by masses for post election violations. SL is under severe pressure to follow this recommendation and start removing those...
Insider : Rafsanjani's coalition is at an impasse.
As reported to me by an insider, January 3rd, 2010.
SL now does believe NSP’s assessments, and understands that his days are counted. However, he & his advisers don’t believe that following Rafsanjani & his coalition’s lead would save him from prosecution & fall. A plan of total police state using well known tactics against popular revolt, harsh crushing and speedy...
December 2009
15 posts
An SNSC Meeting took place early Monday morning.
Reported to me by an insider, Tuesday December 29th.
An SNSC Meeting took place early Monday morning. Artesh commanders of Tehran, Karaj & Qazvin units met prior to it. AN & SL’s representative at Sepah are trying to convince SNSC to arrest all heads of green & activists. It created big discussions at SNSC meeting. Most objections & concerns were expressed against arresting...
Second Announcement National Armed Resistance...
Announcement No. 2 of National Armed Resistance Forces Command (NIRU) December 28th, 2009 In the name of God the Almighty, With salutations to the honest & brave Iranians, we inform: 1. All Stages, rules & aims of Operation Azadi are limited to those in NIRU Announcement dated 26.12.2009, and need no further explanations or interpretations. 2. The timing for operation to start at your...
Coordination Center for National Iranian Armed...
This announcement was received via telephone from a high ranking Army officer of NIRU from Iran Start of announcement Saturday December 26th, 2009 In the name of God the Merciful & Forgiving Praise be to God and peace on the His Messenger (PBUH) and his family I take refuge in Allah from the accursed Satan The coordination center for National Iranian Armed Resistance Forces (NIRU) hereby...
Insider : There is no possible way out of this for...
(Insider assessment of all the info I relayed the past few days.)
All reports of past few days indicate Ayatollah Montazeri’s death has not only accelerated meltdown of regime but has shifted popular demand towards dismantlement of the very concept of Islamic Jurists Guardianship (Islamic Republic). It is no longer a “Green” movement. Montazeri’s death, and subsequent...
Leak : Desperate SNSC vs. Realistic Greater Tehran...
(As reported to me by an insider. Italics indicate clarifications I asked for.)
SNSC urgent communique to Greater Tehran police force command. SNSC asks to work out a plan for Police to take over control, while IRGC/Basij forces leave town as of tonight.Their responsibility would be containment of mass gatherings to avoid mass protests tipping to revolt. Tehran Police central command informed...
Leaked : Urgent and Top Secret letter by...
(As reported to me by an insider.)
Expediency council explicitly reports to SL: - The popular uprising has started, Government & regime have nothing to counter it with. - A massive meltdown of loyalty & trust is underway among all branches of armed forces & commanders, accelerated to catastrophic conditions among armed forces by events following Ayatollah Montazeri’s passing. -...
Islamic Rhetoric catch-up : What is it exactly...
(Many thanks to the analyst) Rafsanjani has an opening article on his site, which implicitly compares SL to Moavieh (an evil caliph),who went astray & became power-corrupted. What Rafsanjani has on his page is Islamic scientific research, which concludes that to please God, a Government must be democratic & the only legitimacy is through people, not by God’s command.It also shows...
Leaked: NSP assessment of Ayatollah Montazeri...
Leaked NSP assessment of Ayatollah Montazeri and Ashura expectations.
NSP estimates over 800,000 people participated in Qom funeral procession (80% of them were from Qom surroundings & NajafAbad). Almost 3 Million mourning people gathered nationwide, despite news & broadcast ban. For Ashura, NSP estimates well over 2 Million in Tehran & up to 8 Million nationwide. According to 17th...
Translation : Retired Artesh soldier : IRGC...
Another soldier’s letter. This one is from a retired Artesh soldier.
(original farsi here : http://tinyurl.com/yc6xg69 )
A letter to the kids at Sepah Greetings compatriot warriors. Hope you are rested. I’m a veteran soldier and am not really familiar with Sepah & your structure. I don’t think you’re are any different from us Artesh soldiers. We are all soldiers of Iran and...
Source : Supreme Security National Council...
Reported by an inside source, December 16th.
According to a report made by Armed Forces Intel & Internal security to the Supreme National Security Council (SNSC): - The situation can be contained for the time being with the armed forces presence in larger cities, but soldiers on continuous standby throughout country and the rapidly deteriorating overall situation will wear military off, and...
Translated Excerpts from Rafsanjani's Mashhad...
The full transcript of Rafsanjani’s speech on 15 Azar in Mashhad was published yesterday by Kaleme : http://www.kaleme.com/1388/09/24/klm-5785
Translated Excerpts :
- I don’t see a difference between extremists of both sides (of the conflict) but a majority of our society,especially educated traditionalists prefer moderation. - It breaks your heart to see students not...
Open Letter from an Iranian Soldier "without...
Full translation of A Letter from an Iranian Soldier “without color” to Ayatollah Rafsanjani. Esteemed Mr. Ayatollah Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani Former Commander in Chief of the Armed Forces of the Islamic Republic of Iran Mr. Rafsanjani Sir, may I? With salutation and requesting yours and your loved ones’ well being and happiness from the almighty God, with your permission, I have a few...
From The Grapevine : Soldiers talk.
After the announcement by some people in Artesh that they were fed up with the situation, and disgusted with IRGC, here are several soldiers’ reactions : Soldier : “250,000 of the 350,000 Artesh soldiers are drafted soldiers doing our national service, all below the age of 25. Guess whose side we’re on?” Air Force Soldier : “I don’t know about...
Insider Opinion : Rafsanjani is finally clearly...
An insider’s interpretation of the Mashhad speeches on December 6 / Azar 15.
Rafsanjani : “If they want us (IRI/Clergy) to Govern them, we will. If not, we will step aside.” In 4 separate speeches to students in Mashhad, Rafsanjani issued his strongest & most direct criticism of IRGC & leadership yet. Iranians are a faithful & Muslim people. If they want us...