NSP source : all deals are off the table.
NSP source (February 10)
There’s no deal left on the on table. All have fallen apart. Jafari has assured SL that 22 Bahman will be the end of fitna & has received full powers. AN is to hold a provocative speech,boasting Iran’s arsenal of retaliatory weapons, nuclear program & ambiguously hint at a secret weapon. Front rows are filled with plain-cloth thugs, so AN’s speech is not interrupted.
In terms of boots on ground, IRGC is nowhere close to having enough soldiers to contain protests, if not resorting to extreme violence. Currently, not even 1/3 junctions to Azadi are manned & blocked to prevent Northerners from joining the rally at Azadi.
Total men on ground between Imam Hossein and Azadi is less than 3,000. If protesters manage to break & overrun just a few of those barriers, the entire stretch will be out of IRGC’s control & in people’s hands. NSP current estimate of protesters indicate to be around 2-3 Miillions.
SL has been made aware of the fact that neither the regular police nor the majority of IRGC units will be willing to confront masses. Despite having been given all facts & warnings, SL has turned down a last minute initiative planned to ease the situation & has essentially handed Iran to IRGC for 24 Hours.
