(As analyzed by an insider, March 4th & 5th, 2010.)
There were some important points in Rafsanjani’s answers during the Q&A yesterday :
1. Only SL has the “power” (authority) to end the crisis, with the help of all domestic forces.
2. Officials have to listen to the young generation’s criticism & answer with logic.
3. The Most important thing is the Will of the People.
4.There will be no end to the current crisis without addressing people’s concerns & being accountable to them.
5. Like the events surrounding the Constitutional Revolution, there are those inside & outside who pretend to be defending Regime & Religion, while being the very enemies of the Regime. This led to collapse of 1st National Assembly, and a chaotic state of affairs to the point of collapse & even loss of the country’s control to Brits & Russians. This ended with Reza Pahlavi’s coup d’etat against that Regime.
Rafsanjani’s speech at Khomeini’s shrine the day after Khobregan session was over was interesting as well. Although the leaked Experts announcement suggested otherwise, Rafsanjani remained critical, warned of Coup Forces destroying the country & reiterated his views. That Friday, he was to lead the Friday Prayer in Tehran but he refused, as long as Janati’s draft was on table. It was a straight death sentence for Green leaders. Rafsanjani refused to sign the “decreed” declaration & demanded those passages to be taken out & the unity aspect to be added.
Adding up these points he made yesterday, and his speech at Khomeini Shrine while sitting on Khamenei’s right side, Ahmadinejad & Sepah’s heads who have focused most of their efforts in trying to exclude Rafsanjani from Khamenei’s court & downplay his role within the Regime, must be alarmed. Rafsanjani’s role & responsibilities have grown beyond defending his own interests or the Traditionalist Conservatives’. Most agree that if AN manages to sideline Rafsanjani, hell will break loose. Without Rafsanjani’s influence & counteractions, there would be nothing that could stop Coup from “cleansing” Iran.
But, as Rafsanjani says : There’s only one man who can pave the road out of the crisis & that is Khamenei himself. He is very much firm on his statement that, not only crisis isn’t over, but if something isn’t done soon, it will bring down the regime. His solution to the crisis has remained same as stated in his last Friday Prayer sermon.
Rafsanjani is of the opinion that it’s better to keep Khamenei close at hand & disallow the crazies to keep him away. Whenever Rafsanjani & Khamenei get closer things loosen up a little & some sort of progress is achieved. Whenever Rafsanjani distances himself, Khamenei becomes a simple tool of Hojjatieh.
A big problem is that Khamenei is utterly unable to take the slightest bit of criticism without reacting very emotionally & defensively.